The Indian rupee strengthened modestly on Tuesday and dollar-rupee forward premiums retreated in range-bound trading as investors awaited the outcome of US midterm elections and developments surrounding the Iran war. The rupee closed at 94.74 per dollar, up from its close at 94.90 in the previous session. While the currency had jumped as high as 94.62 in early trading, it trimmed gains as oil prices rebounded after slumping nearly 11% in the previous session. dollar-rupee forward premiums dipped slightly, with traders awaiting fresh cues to gauge momentum in the near-term. Despite the rupee's recent rally from near-record low levels last month, signals from options and forward markets show that investors remain wary of further weakness and are seeking protection against fresh declines. Investors are weighing the market implications of a possible shift in control of the US Congress in Tuesday's midterm elections, focused on whether a strong Democratic showing could pave the way for greater volatility in asset prices, particularly the AI trade, which has been a main driver for markets. The greenback oscillated between modest gains and losses on the day as oil prices were choppy following conflicting signals surrounding talks to end the war in Iran. The dollar index , which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, rose 0.1% to 101.86, with the euro down 0.01% at $1.1184. Sterling held steady against both the dollar and the euro on Tuesday, with traders nervous about placing large bets ahead of the US midterm elections while also calibrating positions ahead of the Bank of England's meeting on Thursday. The pound was flat against the dollar at $1.3414, and was at 83.35 pence per euro, a fraction firmer on the day, close to an 18-month high hit last week. Oil prices fell about 2% to a three-week low on Tuesday as the market weighed talks to end the wars in Ukraine and Iran against worries about additional supply disruptions from recent attacks in both conflicts. Gold pared earlier gains to edge lower on Tuesday as a higher dollar and Treasury yields pressured the metal, while investors awaited the outcome of US midterm elections for fiscal policy clues. Spot gold slipped 0.5% to $3,928.49 per ounce by 12:11 p.m. ET (1711 GMT). An earlier 1% decline took gold prices to a session low of $3,893.31. A decline in oil prices had eased some inflationary concerns and allowed bullion a short gaining spell, before prices fell again. Spot silver slipped 1.8% to $49.74 per ounce, platinum fell 1.5% to $1,426.91 and palladium dropped 3.4% to $936.50.
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